Chicago Bears predictions and picks
Mako Bets writes a full preview of every Chicago Bears game: the matchup, the players who decide it, injuries and the line.
Chicago Bears this season
5-2 overall · 3-1 at home · 2-1 on the road · 5-2 against the spread · overs 3-4
Recent results
| Date | Opponent | Result | Spread | ATS | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | vs New England Patriots | W 30-24 | -3 | covered | 50.5 (over) |
| 2026-10-18 | @ Atlanta Falcons | W 31-23 | -1.5 | covered | 51.5 (over) |
| 2026-10-11 | @ Green Bay Packers | L 7-31 | -1.5 | did not cover | 46.5 (under) |
| 2026-10-04 | vs New York Jets | W 23-12 | -3.5 | covered | 43.5 (under) |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Philadelphia Eagles | W 27-7 | +3.5 | covered | 42.5 (under) |
Key stats
| Stat | Chicago Bears |
|---|---|
| Points per game | 25.7 (8th of 32) |
| Points allowed per game | 20.4 (9th of 32) |
| Offensive EPA per play | 0.05 (10th of 32) |
| Defensive EPA per play allowed | -0.01 (15th of 32) |
| Yards per play | 5.5 (15th of 32) |
| Yards per play allowed | 6.3 (32nd of 32) |
| Passing yards per game | 254.9 (11th of 32) |
| Rushing yards per game | 154.3 (2nd of 32) |
| 3rd-down conversion % | 44.0% (6th of 32) |
| Red-zone TD % (drives reaching the 20 that end in a TD) | 53.3% (21st of 32) |
| Sack rate allowed (sacks per dropback) | 6.5% (20th of 32) |
| Turnover margin per game | -0.6 (28th of 32) |
Key players
- Caleb Williams (QB): 255.0 pass yds, 32.0 rush yds a game (2026)
- Tyson Bagent (QB): 136.3 pass yds a game (2026)
- D'Andre Swift (RB): 68.0 rush yds, 21.7 rec yds a game (2026)
- Kyle Monangai (RB): 81.0 rush yds a game (2026)
- Luther Burden III (WR): 70.1 rec yds a game (2026)
- Rome Odunze (WR): 54.4 rec yds a game (2026)
Injuries
- Kyle Monangai (RB): Out, Thumb
- Malik Muhammad II (CB): Questionable, Toe
- D'Marco Jackson (LB): Questionable, Ankle
- Coby Bryant (S): Injured Reserve, Knee
- Cole Kmet (TE): Injured Reserve, Knee
Earlier previews
- Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks prediction · Mon, Nov 2, 2026 · Seattle Seahawks -3.25, total 46.5
Without Charles Cross, Sam Darnold faces a rebuilt Bears pass rush - Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots prediction · Thu, Oct 22, 2026 · Chicago Bears -3, total 50.5
Drake Maye's rebuilt line tests a Bears rush missing Montez Sweat