West Florida Argonauts vs Cleveland St Vikings prediction: Short rest, open looks: DJ Shine tests Cleveland State's defense
West Florida plays its second game in two days in Huntsville against a rebuilt Cleveland State team that hasn't stopped anyone yet.
Cleveland St Vikings covered the closing spread (West Florida Argonauts -1.5). The game went under the closing total of 150.5.
| Spread | Cleveland State -3 |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 149.5 |
- Cleveland State should work inside the arc while West Florida hunts threes against a defense allowing 44.8% from deep.
- DJ Shine against the Vikings' perimeter: he carries a 34.8% usage rate and has made 41.7% of his threes.
- Cleveland State -3.5 hasn't moved since our feed first saw it; West Florida covered both lined games, including Thursday's 85-83 loss at Alabama A&M.
An open door on the perimeter
Cleveland State brought back none of last season's minutes and still can't keep opponents from scoring. West Florida, in its first Division I season, arrives with a guard built to punish that. It also arrives on tired legs, a day after playing in the same city.
The number that frames this game: opponents have posted a 67.9% effective field goal percentage (a shooting mark that counts threes 1.5 times) against the Vikings, last of 364 Division I teams. A 111-50 loss at Missouri weighs on that figure, but the problem predates this roster. Last season Cleveland State finished 364th of 365 in adjusted defensive efficiency (points allowed per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponents).
Opponents also shoot plenty of threes against them, and they've made 44.8% of them. That is the shot West Florida's best players want. DJ Shine runs the offense with a 34.8% usage rate, hits 41.7% from deep and scored 27 at Florida International. Alex Godley Jr. has made 9 of 21 threes.
Griffith carries a rebuilt attack
Rob Summers' Vikings look nothing like last season's team, which ranked 18th nationally in 3-point attempt rate. This group ranks 330th, and for good reason: it is shooting 27.3% from three. Missouri held it to 2 of 16 from deep.
Inside the arc is another story. Cleveland State is making 62.6% of its twos, 44th in the country. Rayvon Griffith, who averaged 4.0 points as a Kent State reserve last season, is scoring 24.3 per game and posted 34 and 26 in his last two outings. Forward Dre Jones has shot 61.9% without attempting a three. Curtis Stinson Jr. went 8 of 8 from the field at Bowling Green.
The Argonauts are the smaller team by minutes-weighted height, 76.4 inches to 77.9, so Cleveland State's path is plain: drive, post and avoid a shootout from the perimeter.
Second game in two days
West Florida lost 85-83 at Alabama A&M on Thursday as a 6-point underdog, so this is a quick turnaround in Huntsville. Cleveland State has had four days off since its 95-79 loss at Bowling Green.
The Argonauts have shown a pattern in Division I games: slow starts, strong finishes. They trailed 43-29 at halftime at Florida International and 44-32 at Alabama A&M before closing both gaps late. Cleveland State's first halves have been worse, though. It has allowed 46.7 first-half points per game, 356th nationally.
This is a new program at this level. West Florida joined the ASUN on July 1 after 32 seasons in Division II, won the Gulf South tournament last March and hired Tanner Smith from Appalachian State in the spring. Neither team has reported an injury. Listings for the tip disagree: Cleveland State and ESPN show 3 p.m., while Alabama A&M's schedule shows 2 p.m.
Where the market sits
Cleveland State is a 3.5-point favorite, and that number hasn't budged since our feed first logged it. The total is 153.75, also unmoved. West Florida pays +140 on the moneyline.
The early ATS records lean one way. The Vikings failed to cover in both of their lined games, and both went over. The Argonauts covered both of theirs, including a 16.25-point spread at Florida International.
West Florida Argonauts vs Cleveland St Vikings line movement and odds
| Book | Argonauts ML | Vikings ML | Argonauts spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -118 | -102 | -1.5 (-102) | o150.5 (-110) |
| BetRivers | -108 | -115 | -0.5 (-108) | o150.5 (-112) |
| DraftKings | -112 | -108 | -1.5 (-102) | o150.5 (-105) |
| ESPN BET | -125 | +105 | -1.5 (-110) | o149.5 (-105) |
| Fanatics | -120 | +100 | -1.5 (-105) | o149.5 (-110) |
| FanDuel | — | — | — | o150.5 (-110) |
| Hard Rock Bet | -110 | -115 | +1.5 (-125) | o150.5 (-110) |
| Caesars | -125 | +105 | -1 (-110) | o150 (-110) |
Where the money is on West Florida Argonauts vs Cleveland St Vikings
On the Kalshi moneyline: West Florida Argonauts: 52% of bets, 55% of the money; Cleveland St Vikings: 48% of bets, 45% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Cleveland St Vikings -3.5: 49% of bets, 39% of the money; West Florida Argonauts +3.5: 51% of bets, 61% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 149.5: 82% of bets, 87% of the money; Under 149.5: 18% of bets, 13% of the money.
Key players
- DJ Shine (West Florida): Averages 18.8 points on a 34.8% usage rate and shoots 41.7% from three.
- Alex Godley Jr. (West Florida): Has made 9 of 21 threes while averaging 11.8 points.
- Christian Valarezo (West Florida): Leads the regulars with 3.0 assists per game despite starting none of four games.
- Rayvon Griffith (Cleveland State): Averages 24.3 points on a 36.8% usage rate after scoring 4.0 per game at Kent State last season.
- Dre Jones (Cleveland State): Shoots 61.9% from the field and adds 5.7 rebounds per game without a 3-point attempt.
- Curtis Stinson Jr. (Cleveland State): Went 8 of 8 from the field for 18 points at Bowling Green.
Numbers that matter
| Cleveland State opponent eFG% | 67.9% | Ranks last of 364 Division I teams, the clearest opening for West Florida's shooters. |
|---|---|---|
| Cleveland State 2-point % | 62.6% | Ranks 44th nationally and is the Vikings' best path, given their 27.3% 3-point shooting. |
| DJ Shine usage rate | 34.8% | West Florida's offense runs through him, and he shoots 41.7% from three. |
| West Florida rest days | 1 | The Argonauts played Alabama A&M on Thursday; Cleveland State had four days off. |
| Spread | -3.5 | Cleveland State's number hasn't moved since our feed first saw the game. |
West Florida Argonauts vs Cleveland St Vikings: quick answers
What was the final score of West Florida Argonauts vs Cleveland St Vikings?
West Florida Argonauts 67, Cleveland St Vikings 69 (final). Cleveland St Vikings covered the closing spread (West Florida Argonauts -1.5). The game went under the closing total of 150.5.
Who is favored in West Florida Argonauts vs Cleveland St Vikings?
Cleveland State is favored by 3 points (Cleveland State -3).
What is the over/under for West Florida Argonauts vs Cleveland St Vikings?
The total is 149.5 points.
When is West Florida Argonauts vs Cleveland St Vikings?
Friday, November 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET.
Has the line moved for West Florida Argonauts vs Cleveland St Vikings?
Yes: West Florida Argonauts opened +3.5 and is now -1.5, and the total moved from 154.5 to 150.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on West Florida Argonauts vs Cleveland St Vikings?
On the Kalshi moneyline: West Florida Argonauts: 52% of bets, 55% of the money; Cleveland St Vikings: 48% of bets, 45% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Cleveland St Vikings -3.5: 49% of bets, 39% of the money; West Florida Argonauts +3.5: 51% of bets, 61% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 149.5: 82% of bets, 87% of the money; Under 149.5: 18% of bets, 13% of the money.