LIU Sharks vs Fordham Rams prediction: Fordham's ball hawks face an LIU offense still searching for itself
Long Island rebuilt its roster from scratch and still gives the ball away, and Fordham's defense lives in the passing lanes.
Fordham Rams covered the closing spread (LIU Sharks +13.5). The game went under the closing total of 145.5.
| Spread | Fordham -12.5 |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 145.5 |
- Fordham should turn LIU giveaways into easy points at Rose Hill. The Sharks rank 352nd in offensive efficiency and haven't found a reliable shooter.
- Amir Lindsey against Vasean Allette: Lindsey sets up Fordham at 7.0 assists a game, while Allette averages 2.2 steals.
- Fordham is a 12.5-point favorite with a 143.5 total, unchanged since the line appeared. The Rams are 0-3 against the spread.
A team built from nothing
Long Island won 24 games last season, and almost none of that team is left. Players on this season's roster logged just 1.2% of last season's minutes, so last year's ratings tell you close to nothing about the group Rod Strickland, in his fifth season, brings to the Bronx tonight.
The new group is 0-4, every game on the road, and the offense has been the problem. LIU scores 86.0 points per 100 possessions, 352nd of 364 in Division I. Its shooters have made 21.6% of their threes, 353rd nationally. The Sharks fell 66-46 at Towson in their last outing, and in the opener at Florida Atlantic they cut the lead to one in the second half before going without a field goal over the final five minutes.
Fordham is in better shape. Mike Magpayo, in his second season, has a core of returning forwards in Rikus Schulte, Akira Jacobs, Abass Bodija and Roor Akhuar, plus two scoring transfers in the backcourt.
Where possessions disappear
This is the matchup that should set the margin. LIU turns the ball over on 21.3% of its possessions, 312th nationally. Fordham forces turnovers on 24.3% of opponent possessions, 46th, and its steal rate ranks 18th. Schulte leads that pressure with 3.0 steals a game.
The caveat is that Fordham is sloppy too. The Rams' own turnover rate ranks 307th, so this can become a scrappy, stop-start game rather than a runaway. Still, Fordham has the hands to cash in on LIU's mistakes, and LIU's half-court offense has given little reason to think it can make up the difference.
Threes against a wall of blocks
Fordham's shooting has carried it early. The Rams hit 40.0% from three, 42nd nationally, and Jacobs has made 8 of his 12 attempts. LIU's opponents have shot 37.7% from deep, 316th, though the Sharks allow relatively few attempts.
Inside, the picture flips. Fordham makes just 46.7% of its twos, 304th, and LIU blocks 17.3% of opponent two-point tries, 26th in the country. Ryan Bewley averages 3.0 blocks and had five at Florida Atlantic. If Fordham's threes stop falling, the paint won't bail it out easily.
LIU's defense has a costly habit, though: it fouls. Opponents get to the line at a rate that ranks 339th, and the Sharks picked up 10 fouls in the first 10 minutes of the opener.
Why the number is tricky
Fordham has won games without covering them. The Rams are 0-3 against the spread, beating Iona by six as 11.5-point favorites and Stonehill by 20 while laying 20.25. Their defense is the reason. Opponents post a 54.2% effective field goal percentage (threes weighted 1.5 times), 304th, and all three Fordham games have gone over.
LIU games lean the other way, with three of four going under, mostly because the Sharks can't score. Fordham won last season's meeting 69-53 at Rose Hill. No injuries have surfaced for either team, though the LIU check was thin. The spread and total have not moved since our feed first recorded them this morning.
LIU Sharks vs Fordham Rams line movement and odds
| Book | Sharks ML | Rams ML | Sharks spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +750 | -1200 | +13.5 (-105) | o145.5 (-110) |
| BetRivers | +700 | -1250 | +13.5 (-104) | o145.5 (-110) |
| DraftKings | +675 | -1050 | +13.5 (-110) | o146.5 (-105) |
| ESPN BET | +750 | -1400 | +13.5 (-115) | o145.5 (-115) |
| Fanatics | +700 | -1100 | +13.5 (-110) | o146 (-110) |
| FanDuel | +810 | -1450 | +13.5 (-105) | o144.5 (-115) |
| Hard Rock Bet | +700 | -1300 | +13.5 (+100) | o145.5 (-110) |
| Caesars | +700 | -1100 | +13.5 (-110) | o146.5 (-110) |
Where the money is on LIU Sharks vs Fordham Rams
On the Kalshi moneyline: LIU Sharks: 47% of bets, 8% of the money; Fordham Rams: 53% of bets, 92% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Fordham Rams -12.5: 23% of bets, 19% of the money; LIU Sharks +12.5: 77% of bets, 81% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 144.5: 33% of bets, 38% of the money; Under 144.5: 67% of bets, 62% of the money.
Proven Polymarket wallets. Moneyline: LIU Sharks (1 wallet, $3). Largest: 0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69 $3 on LIU Sharks.
Key players
- Amir Lindsey (Fordham): Lindsey averages 7.0 assists and carries a 123 offensive rating through three games.
- Lateef Patrick Jr. (Fordham): Patrick leads the Rams at 16.0 points a game without a start and scored 22 against Stonehill.
- Akira Jacobs (Fordham): Jacobs has made 8 of 12 threes this season.
- Rikus Schulte (Fordham): Schulte averages 3.0 steals and 7.0 rebounds.
- Daquan Davis (Long Island University): Davis averages 14.2 points but shoots 39.1% from the field.
- Vasean Allette (Long Island University): Allette dishes 5.8 assists a game but is 0 of 9 from three.
- Ryan Bewley (Long Island University): Bewley blocks 3.0 shots a game in 18.2 minutes.
Numbers that matter
| LIU returning minutes | 1.2% | Last season's 24-11 team is effectively gone, so last year's numbers barely apply. |
|---|---|---|
| LIU turnover rate | 21.3% | Ranks 312th, against a Fordham defense that forces turnovers at the 46th-best rate. |
| LIU 3-point percentage | 21.6% | Ranks 353rd, the root of an offense that rates 352nd overall. |
| Fordham opponent eFG% | 54.2% | Ranks 304th and explains why all three Fordham games went over the total. |
| Fordham ATS record | 0-3 | The Rams have won as favorites but haven't covered a number yet. |
LIU Sharks vs Fordham Rams: quick answers
What was the final score of LIU Sharks vs Fordham Rams?
LIU Sharks 58, Fordham Rams 80 (final). Fordham Rams covered the closing spread (LIU Sharks +13.5). The game went under the closing total of 145.5.
Who is favored in LIU Sharks vs Fordham Rams?
Fordham is favored by 12.5 points (Fordham -12.5).
What is the over/under for LIU Sharks vs Fordham Rams?
The total is 145.5 points.
When is LIU Sharks vs Fordham Rams?
Friday, November 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
Has the line moved for LIU Sharks vs Fordham Rams?
Yes: LIU Sharks opened +11 and is now +13.5, and the total moved from 143 to 145.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on LIU Sharks vs Fordham Rams?
On the Kalshi moneyline: LIU Sharks: 47% of bets, 8% of the money; Fordham Rams: 53% of bets, 92% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Fordham Rams -12.5: 23% of bets, 19% of the money; LIU Sharks +12.5: 77% of bets, 81% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 144.5: 33% of bets, 38% of the money; Under 144.5: 67% of bets, 62% of the money.
What are proven bettors on in LIU Sharks vs Fordham Rams?
Proven Polymarket wallets, graded on 180 days of settled bets: Moneyline: LIU Sharks (1 wallet, $3). Largest: 0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69 $3 on LIU Sharks. A sharp side is a question, not a bet; copying proven wallets late lost money in our test.