NFL West Coast teams in early East games: ATS Record Since 1999
The 1 PM ET body-clock game. 296 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 148-141-7 (51.2%)
Straight up: 135-161 (45.6%)
Over/under: 147-143-6 (50.7% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.17 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.2%), so there is no edge to explain. 2000-2013: 65-75 (46.4%); 2014-2026: 83-66 (55.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-08: LA at WAS
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2025 | 8-8 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 9-6 | 60.0% |
| 2023 | 9-5 | 64.3% |
| 2022 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 9-5 | 64.3% |
| 2020 | 9-8 | 52.9% |
| 2019 | 9-4-1 | 69.2% |
| 2018 | 6-5 | 54.5% |
| 2017 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2016 | 5-5-1 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 5-6-1 | 45.5% |
| 2014 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2013 | 10-3 | 76.9% |
| 2012 | 6-8 | 42.9% |
| 2011 | 6-3-1 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2009 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2008 | 7-6 | 53.8% |
| 2007 | 4-10 | 28.6% |
| 2006 | 3-6 | 33.3% |
| 2005 | 7-6 | 53.8% |
| 2004 | 7-6 | 53.8% |
| 2003 | 2-6-2 | 25.0% |
| 2002 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2001 | 2-7-1 | 22.2% |
| 2000 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL west coast teams in early east games?
148-141-7 against the spread (51.2%) in 296 team-games since 1999, 135-161 straight up and 147-143-6 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.2%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2000-2013: 65-75 (46.4%); 2014-2026: 83-66 (55.7%).