NFL Thursday night home teams: ATS Record Since 1999
Hosts on Thursday Night Football. 274 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 140-126-8 (52.6%)
Straight up: 165-109 (60.2%)
Over/under: 130-139-5 (48.3% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.23 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2000-2014: 49-44 (52.7%); 2015-2026: 91-82 (52.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-05: BAL vs JAX
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2025 | 8-9 | 47.1% |
| 2024 | 11-5-1 | 68.8% |
| 2023 | 7-8-2 | 46.7% |
| 2022 | 7-9-1 | 43.8% |
| 2021 | 6-10 | 37.5% |
| 2020 | 4-8 | 33.3% |
| 2019 | 7-8 | 46.7% |
| 2018 | 10-4-1 | 71.4% |
| 2017 | 9-5-1 | 64.3% |
| 2016 | 11-5 | 68.8% |
| 2015 | 6-9-1 | 40.0% |
| 2014 | 8-8 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 6-9 | 40.0% |
| 2012 | 6-8 | 42.9% |
| 2011 | 6-2 | 75.0% |
| 2010 | 7-1 | 87.5% |
| 2009 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2008 | 4-3-1 | 57.1% |
| 2007 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2006 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2002 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2001 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2000 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL thursday night home teams?
140-126-8 against the spread (52.6%) in 274 team-games since 1999, 165-109 straight up and 130-139-5 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2000-2014: 49-44 (52.7%); 2015-2026: 91-82 (52.6%).