NFL Sunday night favorites: ATS Record Since 1999
Favorites in the Sunday night game. 451 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 220-221-10 (49.9%)
Straight up: 295-154-2 (65.7%)
Over/under: 213-229-9 (48.2% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.48 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -4.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 2000-2013: 113-106 (51.6%); 2014-2026: 107-115 (48.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-08: CHI vs TB
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2025 | 10-9 | 52.6% |
| 2024 | 12-6-1 | 66.7% |
| 2023 | 10-9 | 52.6% |
| 2022 | 5-14 | 26.3% |
| 2021 | 8-11 | 42.1% |
| 2020 | 7-11 | 38.9% |
| 2019 | 9-8 | 52.9% |
| 2018 | 8-11 | 42.1% |
| 2017 | 10-6-2 | 62.5% |
| 2016 | 8-8-2 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 9-8 | 52.9% |
| 2014 | 8-9 | 47.1% |
| 2013 | 12-6 | 66.7% |
| 2012 | 11-5-1 | 68.8% |
| 2011 | 8-9 | 47.1% |
| 2010 | 6-9-1 | 40.0% |
| 2009 | 8-7-1 | 53.3% |
| 2008 | 8-8 | 50.0% |
| 2007 | 7-9 | 43.8% |
| 2006 | 6-9 | 40.0% |
| 2005 | 11-3-1 | 78.6% |
| 2004 | 9-6-1 | 60.0% |
| 2003 | 8-8 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 7-9 | 43.8% |
| 2001 | 5-10 | 33.3% |
| 2000 | 7-8 | 46.7% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL sunday night favorites?
220-221-10 against the spread (49.9%) in 451 team-games since 1999, 295-154-2 straight up and 213-229-9 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -4.3%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2000-2013: 113-106 (51.6%); 2014-2026: 107-115 (48.2%).