NFL Road teams on a short week: ATS Record Since 1999
Five days of rest or less, away from home. 311 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 151-152-8 (49.8%)
Straight up: 139-172 (44.7%)
Over/under: 151-155-5 (49.3% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.53 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -4.2%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2012: 42-45 (48.3%); 2013-2026: 109-107 (50.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-05: JAX at BAL
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2025 | 10-10 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 9-11 | 45.0% |
| 2023 | 8-8-2 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 8-8-1 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 9-6-1 | 60.0% |
| 2020 | 11-4 | 73.3% |
| 2019 | 8-7 | 53.3% |
| 2018 | 5-9-1 | 35.7% |
| 2017 | 6-8-1 | 42.9% |
| 2016 | 7-10 | 41.2% |
| 2015 | 8-7-1 | 53.3% |
| 2014 | 8-8 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 10-6 | 62.5% |
| 2012 | 9-7 | 56.3% |
| 2011 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 2-8 | 20.0% |
| 2009 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2008 | 4-4-1 | 50.0% |
| 2007 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2006 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2005 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2004 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2003 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2001 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2000 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 1999 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL road teams on a short week?
151-152-8 against the spread (49.8%) in 311 team-games since 1999, 139-172 straight up and 151-155-5 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -4.2%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 42-45 (48.3%); 2013-2026: 109-107 (50.5%).