NFL Three or more extra days of rest: ATS Record Since 1999
More rest than the opponent. 1,441 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 718-691-32 (51.0%)
Straight up: 768-669-4 (53.4%)
Over/under: 713-706-22 (50.2% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.6 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.7%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2012: 315-295 (51.6%); 2013-2026: 403-396 (50.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-02: CHI at SEA
- 2026-11-08: NO vs CLE
- 2026-11-08: CAR vs DEN
- 2026-11-08: NYG at PHI
- 2026-11-08: HOU at LAC
- 2026-11-08: SF vs LV
- 2026-11-08: GB at NE
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 16-7-2 | 69.6% |
| 2025 | 30-30 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 29-38 | 43.3% |
| 2023 | 33-23-2 | 58.9% |
| 2022 | 29-26-2 | 52.7% |
| 2021 | 30-27-2 | 52.6% |
| 2020 | 27-29 | 48.2% |
| 2019 | 30-33 | 47.6% |
| 2018 | 29-30-1 | 49.2% |
| 2017 | 29-30-3 | 49.2% |
| 2016 | 38-26-2 | 59.4% |
| 2015 | 34-25-2 | 57.6% |
| 2014 | 19-36-3 | 34.5% |
| 2013 | 30-36 | 45.5% |
| 2012 | 31-31-1 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 27-26-1 | 50.9% |
| 2010 | 26-21-2 | 55.3% |
| 2009 | 22-23-3 | 48.9% |
| 2008 | 30-16-1 | 65.2% |
| 2007 | 23-25 | 47.9% |
| 2006 | 24-23-1 | 51.1% |
| 2005 | 21-19 | 52.5% |
| 2004 | 21-16 | 56.8% |
| 2003 | 17-20-1 | 45.9% |
| 2002 | 18-15-1 | 54.5% |
| 2001 | 22-16-1 | 57.9% |
| 2000 | 16-21-1 | 43.2% |
| 1999 | 17-23 | 42.5% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL three or more extra days of rest?
718-691-32 against the spread (51.0%) in 1,441 team-games since 1999, 768-669-4 straight up and 713-706-22 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -2.7%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 315-295 (51.6%); 2013-2026: 403-396 (50.4%).