NFL Monday night home teams: ATS Record Since 1999

Hosts on Monday Night Football. 462 team-games since 1999.

Against the spread: 218-232-12 (48.4%)
Straight up: 252-210 (54.5%)
Over/under: 220-235-7 (48.4% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.06 points

Is it real?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -1.6%), so there is no edge to explain. 2000-2013: 115-111 (50.9%); 2014-2026: 103-121 (46.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

This week’s games that fit

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20263-442.9%
202512-1054.5%
202410-1147.6%
20239-12-242.9%
20226-1135.3%
202112-763.2%
20209-1047.4%
20195-1131.3%
20187-9-143.8%
201710-7-158.8%
20169-756.3%
20154-12-125.0%
20147-1041.2%
201310-6-162.5%
20129-756.3%
201111-664.7%
20107-1041.2%
20098-947.1%
20089-852.9%
20077-1041.2%
200610-7-158.8%
20057-9-143.8%
20047-943.8%
20034-10-128.6%
20029-7-156.3%
20017-846.7%
200010-5-266.7%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NFL monday night home teams?

218-232-12 against the spread (48.4%) in 462 team-games since 1999, 252-210 straight up and 220-235-7 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -1.6%), so there is no edge to explain.

Did it hold up?

2000-2013: 115-111 (50.9%); 2014-2026: 103-121 (46.0%).

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