NFL After an overtime game: ATS Record Since 1999
The week after playing extra time. 840 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 403-414-23 (49.3%)
Straight up: 386-454 (46.0%)
Over/under: 411-420-9 (49.5% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.41 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2012: 219-208 (51.3%); 2013-2026: 184-206 (47.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-08: CIN vs ATL
- 2026-11-08: DAL at IND
- 2026-11-08: NYG at PHI
- 2026-11-08: HOU at LAC
- 2026-11-08: ARI at SEA
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8-7-1 | 53.3% |
| 2025 | 12-18 | 40.0% |
| 2024 | 15-13 | 53.6% |
| 2023 | 12-13-1 | 48.0% |
| 2022 | 17-20-2 | 45.9% |
| 2021 | 26-14 | 65.0% |
| 2020 | 11-9 | 55.0% |
| 2019 | 10-7-1 | 58.8% |
| 2018 | 11-21 | 34.4% |
| 2017 | 13-14-1 | 48.1% |
| 2016 | 9-16 | 36.0% |
| 2015 | 13-28 | 31.7% |
| 2014 | 11-12 | 47.8% |
| 2013 | 16-14-2 | 53.3% |
| 2012 | 18-24-3 | 42.9% |
| 2011 | 13-12-1 | 52.0% |
| 2010 | 14-22-2 | 38.9% |
| 2009 | 13-15 | 46.4% |
| 2008 | 17-13-1 | 56.7% |
| 2007 | 13-13-1 | 50.0% |
| 2006 | 10-9 | 52.6% |
| 2005 | 12-13-1 | 48.0% |
| 2004 | 16-10 | 61.5% |
| 2003 | 23-23-2 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 21-25-1 | 45.7% |
| 2001 | 19-14-2 | 57.6% |
| 2000 | 16-9-1 | 64.0% |
| 1999 | 14-6 | 70.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL after an overtime game?
403-414-23 against the spread (49.3%) in 840 team-games since 1999, 386-454 straight up and 411-420-9 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.3%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 219-208 (51.3%); 2013-2026: 184-206 (47.2%).