NBA On a 4+ game win streak: Miami Heat: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Hot teams. 187 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 95-89-3 (51.6%)
Straight up: 125-62 (66.8%)
Over/under: 94-90-3 (51.1% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.19 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.4%), so there is no edge to explain. 2009-2018: 72-60 (54.5%); 2019-2026: 23-29 (44.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2025 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2024 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2023 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 5-8 | 38.5% |
| 2021 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2020 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2019 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2017 | 10-1 | 90.9% |
| 2016 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 9-9-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 23-20 | 53.5% |
| 2012 | 7-8 | 46.7% |
| 2011 | 14-14-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2009 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA on a 4+ game win streak for the Miami Heat?
95-89-3 against the spread (51.6%) in 187 team-games since 2007-08, 125-62 straight up and 94-90-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.4%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2009-2018: 72-60 (54.5%); 2019-2026: 23-29 (44.2%).