NBA Totals of 235 or more: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Track meets: read the over/under record. 1,549 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 749-783-17 (48.9%)
Straight up: 843-706 (54.4%)
Over/under: 764-767-18 (49.9% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.3 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.4%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2020: 92-89 (50.8%); 2021-2027: 657-694 (48.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: PHI vs CHI
- 2026-11-02: LAL vs MIA
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 10-17 | 37.0% |
| 2026 | 185-171 | 52.0% |
| 2025 | 107-116-6 | 48.0% |
| 2024 | 163-167-2 | 49.4% |
| 2023 | 110-120-3 | 47.8% |
| 2022 | 37-43-2 | 46.3% |
| 2021 | 45-60-2 | 42.9% |
| 2020 | 34-35 | 49.3% |
| 2019 | 46-37-2 | 55.4% |
| 2018 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2017 | 2-8 | 20.0% |
| 2010 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2008 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA totals of 235 or more?
749-783-17 against the spread (48.9%) in 1,549 team-games since 2007-08, 843-706 straight up and 764-767-18 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.4%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2020: 92-89 (50.8%); 2021-2027: 657-694 (48.6%).