NBA After a cross-country flight: ATS Record Since 2007-08
2,000+ miles since the last game. 919 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 434-468-17 (48.1%)
Straight up: 439-480 (47.8%)
Over/under: 454-449-16 (50.3% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.6 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -0.9%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 221-265 (45.5%); 2018-2027: 213-203 (51.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: MIA at LAL
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 21-24 | 46.7% |
| 2025 | 20-24-2 | 45.5% |
| 2024 | 20-25 | 44.4% |
| 2023 | 23-19 | 54.8% |
| 2022 | 25-30 | 45.5% |
| 2021 | 30-16-1 | 65.2% |
| 2020 | 20-19 | 51.3% |
| 2019 | 28-20 | 58.3% |
| 2018 | 26-25 | 51.0% |
| 2017 | 23-25-1 | 47.9% |
| 2016 | 30-25-2 | 54.5% |
| 2015 | 20-35-1 | 36.4% |
| 2014 | 22-31-1 | 41.5% |
| 2013 | 16-27-1 | 37.2% |
| 2012 | 17-14-1 | 54.8% |
| 2011 | 26-24-3 | 52.0% |
| 2010 | 20-28-2 | 41.7% |
| 2009 | 24-30 | 44.4% |
| 2008 | 23-26-2 | 46.9% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA after a cross-country flight?
434-468-17 against the spread (48.1%) in 919 team-games since 2007-08, 439-480 straight up and 454-449-16 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -0.9%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 221-265 (45.5%); 2018-2027: 213-203 (51.2%).