NBA Four straight ATS losses: Miami Heat: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Teams that haven't covered in four. 72 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 37-34-1 (52.1%)
Straight up: 40-32 (55.6%)
Over/under: 31-40-1 (43.7% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.06 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.5%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 21-21 (50.0%); 2020-2027: 16-13 (55.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2023 | 5-0 | 100.0% |
| 2022 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2021 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2020 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2016 | 2-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 3-3-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2011 | 4-7 | 36.4% |
| 2010 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2008 | 3-6 | 33.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA four straight ats losses for the Miami Heat?
37-34-1 against the spread (52.1%) in 72 team-games since 2007-08, 40-32 straight up and 31-40-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.5%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 21-21 (50.0%); 2020-2027: 16-13 (55.2%).