NBA After an overtime game: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Extra minutes last time out. 2,711 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 1281-1385-45 (48.0%)
Straight up: 1264-1447 (46.6%)
Over/under: 1338-1338-35 (50.0% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.58 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -0.8%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 747-789 (48.6%); 2018-2027: 534-596 (47.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-7 | 12.5% |
| 2026 | 55-52-1 | 51.4% |
| 2025 | 49-64-1 | 43.4% |
| 2024 | 54-62 | 46.6% |
| 2023 | 83-71-4 | 53.9% |
| 2022 | 46-66-5 | 41.1% |
| 2021 | 54-60-4 | 47.4% |
| 2020 | 69-72-3 | 48.9% |
| 2019 | 61-78-2 | 43.9% |
| 2018 | 62-64-3 | 49.2% |
| 2017 | 66-77-3 | 46.2% |
| 2016 | 84-80 | 51.2% |
| 2015 | 83-84-1 | 49.7% |
| 2014 | 80-87-6 | 47.9% |
| 2013 | 78-87-3 | 47.3% |
| 2012 | 65-73 | 47.1% |
| 2011 | 91-78-3 | 53.8% |
| 2010 | 74-67-4 | 52.5% |
| 2009 | 76-77-1 | 49.7% |
| 2008 | 50-79-1 | 38.8% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA after an overtime game?
1281-1385-45 against the spread (48.0%) in 2,711 team-games since 2007-08, 1264-1447 straight up and 1338-1338-35 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -0.8%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 747-789 (48.6%); 2018-2027: 534-596 (47.3%).