Tampa Bay Lightning predictions and picks
Mako Bets writes a full preview of every Tampa Bay Lightning game: the matchup, the players who decide it, injuries and the line.
Tampa Bay Lightning this season
8-3-2 overall · 6-0-0 at home · 2-3-2 on the road · 7-6 against the spread · overs 8-5
Recent results
| Date | Opponent | Result | Spread | ATS | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | @ Nashville Predators | L 4-5 (SO) | -1.5 | did not cover | 6.5 (over) |
| 2026-10-29 | vs Winnipeg Jets | W 6-4 | -1.5 | covered | 5.5 (over) |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Utah Mammoth | L 4-5 (OT) | +1.5 | covered | 6.5 (over) |
| 2026-10-23 | @ Colorado Avalanche | L 3-6 | +1.5 | did not cover | 6.5 (over) |
| 2026-10-20 | @ Vegas Golden Knights | W 6-2 | +1.5 | covered | 6.5 (over) |
Key stats
| Stat | Tampa Bay Lightning |
|---|---|
| Goals per game | 3.69 (5th of 32) |
| Goals allowed per game | 3.23 (17th of 32) |
| Goal differential per game | 0.46 (10th of 32) |
| Shots on goal per game | 30.1 (5th of 32) |
| Shots allowed per game | 24.9 (7th of 32) |
| Shot share (shots for / all shots) | 54.7% (6th of 32) |
| Shooting % (goals per shot) | 12.3% (8th of 32) |
| Team save % (all goals allowed per shot against) | 87.0% (29th of 32) |
| Power play % | 15.2% (28th of 32) |
| Penalty kill % | 77.1% (17th of 32) |
| Faceoff % | 47.6% (25th of 32) |
Key players
- Nikita Kucherov (RW)
- Brandon Hagel (LW)
- Jake Guentzel (C)
- Brayden Point (C)
- Pontus Holmberg (RW)
- John Carlson (D)
Injuries
- Zemgus Girgensons: Out, Lower Body
- Erik Cernak: Day-To-Day, Undisclosed
- Yanni Gourde: Injured Reserve, Hip
Earlier previews
- Tampa Bay Lightning at Nashville Predators prediction · Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · Tampa Bay Lightning -171 (puck line -1.5), total 6
Lightning shot surge tests Saros and Nashville's elite special teams - Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets prediction · Thu, Oct 29, 2026 · Tampa Bay Lightning -218 (puck line -1.5), total 6
Skinner and the post-Hellebuyck Jets brace for Tampa's shot volume