Coppin St Eagles vs Bradley Braves prediction: Bradley's rebuilt offense hunts for answers against turnover-prone Coppin State
The Braves can defend but can't yet score. Coppin State's habit of giving the ball away may be the cure for that, or the only thing standing between it and a cover.
| Spread | Bradley -10.5 |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 134.5 |
- Expect a slow, low-scoring grind. Bradley's defense should hold up, and the margin rides on how many possessions Coppin State gives away.
- Coppin's ball handlers against Bradley's hands: the Eagles' 27.2% turnover rate ranks 359th, and Bradley forces turnovers on 22.2% of possessions.
- Bradley has moved from -7.75 to -10.5 despite an offense ranked 333rd in efficiency. The total sits at 134.5.
An offense still under construction
Bradley has lost two straight by double digits, and the problem lives on one end of the floor. The Braves rank 34th nationally in defensive efficiency (points allowed per 100 possessions). Their offense ranks 333rd, and their effective field goal percentage (a shooting mark that counts threes 1.5 times) of 43.3% sits 338th.
The cause is no mystery. Bradley returns just 13.0% of last season's minutes. Jaquan Johnson left for Iowa State, sharpshooter Alex Huibregtse is gone, and projected starting point guard Georgi Gerganov is out for the season after a summer knee injury. Timoty van der Knaap came back from a foot injury to start at Davidson and went 0-for-11. Dietrich Richardson, also dealing with a foot injury, missed his second straight game there, and Bradley hasn't said whether he plays Thursday.
After that loss, Brian Wardle said the offense is struggling, that the staff tweaked things and that the team is shifting to more five-out motion. Coppin State may see a Bradley attack that doesn't match the film. The roster churn also makes last season's ratings a weak guide: Bradley finished last season 120th in adjusted net efficiency and Coppin 363rd, but few of the Braves who earned that number remain.
Coppin's giveaways are the swing
Coppin State turns the ball over on 27.2% of its possessions, 359th of 364. That is not a three-game fluke; last season's rate ranked 361st. Bradley's defense forces turnovers on 22.2% of possessions, 85th nationally, and every live-ball steal is an easy basket for an offense that can't find them in the half court.
The glass offers Bradley a second edge. Coppin grabs only 61.1% of opponents' misses, 341st, and Josh Ibukunoluwa has pulled down 8.0 rebounds per game. The Eagles' own offensive rebound rate of 36.2% is respectable, which gives them their best route to extra shots.
Cold threes, quiet foul line
Bradley lets it fly: 46.7% of its shots are threes, 78th most nationally, but it makes only 28.6% of them. Trevon Payton is the test case. He hit 47.1% of his threes at Arkansas-Pine Bluff last season and went 3-of-14 from the floor against Pacific. Max Gaspa, a starter, is shooting 18.2% from deep.
The easier points may come at the line. Bradley's free throw rate (free throw attempts per shot) of 22.2% ranks 351st, but Coppin sends opponents to the stripe often, with an opponent free throw rate of 44.8%, 300th. If the five-out motion produces drives instead of more contested jumpers, that mismatch is where Bradley can build a lead.
Coppin's spark is off the bench. Malik Shackleford has made 6 of 10 threes, and he played 24 minutes at George Mason after just five at Virginia Tech.
What the market is saying
The line has moved toward Bradley since our feed first saw it at -7.75; it now sits at -10.5, while the total slipped from 135.5 to 134.5. Both teams went under in both of their lined games, and Bradley is scoring just 25.3 first-half points per game, 353rd.
Coppin's résumé cuts both ways. It lost by 34 at Virginia Tech but covered as a 28.5-point underdog at George Mason. The Eagles have had three days of rest; Bradley gets two after playing at Davidson on Tuesday. This one is on a neutral floor at Eckerd College's McArthur Center in St. Petersburg, part of the Showdown in St. Pete.
Coppin St Eagles vs Bradley Braves line movement and odds
| Book | Eagles ML | Braves ML | Eagles spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +375 | -500 | +9.5 (-102) | o135.5 (-105) |
| BetRivers | +340 | -500 | +9.5 (-118) | o135.5 (-103) |
| DraftKings | +350 | -455 | +10.5 (-115) | o135.5 (-110) |
| ESPN BET | — | — | +9.5 (-105) | o135.5 (-110) |
| Fanatics | +360 | -475 | +10 (-110) | o134.5 (-115) |
| FanDuel | +390 | -530 | +9.5 (-102) | o134.5 (-110) |
| Hard Rock Bet | +350 | -500 | +9.5 (-115) | o135.5 (+100) |
Where the money is on Coppin St Eagles vs Bradley Braves
On the Kalshi moneyline: Coppin St Eagles: 55% of bets, 73% of the money; Bradley Braves: 45% of bets, 27% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Bradley Braves -7.5: 100% of bets, 100% of the money; Coppin St Eagles +7.5: 0% of bets, 0% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 135.5: 9% of bets, 15% of the money; Under 135.5: 91% of bets, 85% of the money.
Proven Polymarket wallets. Spread: Bradley Braves (1 wallet, $5). Largest: 0x842c… $5 on Bradley Braves.
Coppin St Eagles vs Bradley Braves stats (this season)
| Stat | Coppin St Eagles | Bradley Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Adjusted offensive efficiency | 91.5 (362nd of 365) | 111.8 (119th of 365) |
| Adjusted defensive efficiency | 121.3 (353rd of 365) | 107.1 (130th of 365) |
| Adjusted net efficiency | -29.9 (363rd of 365) | 4.7 (120th of 365) |
| Pace | 68.8 (255th of 364) | 66.0 (318th of 364) |
| Effective FG% | 48.8% (261st of 364) | 43.3% (338th of 364) |
| Opponent effective FG% | 44.8% (99th of 364) | 43.3% (68th of 364) |
| Turnover rate | 27.2% (359th of 364) | 20.2% (280th of 364) |
| Offensive rebound % | 36.2% (128th of 364) | 34.5% (164th of 364) |
| 3-point % | 28.8% (281st of 364) | 28.6% (286th of 364) |
| Free throw rate | 36.0% (181st of 364) | 22.2% (351st of 364) |
Key players
- Trevon Payton (Bradley): Leads Bradley at 13.0 points per game with a 25.4% usage rate, but is shooting 34.4% from the floor.
- Josh Ibukunoluwa (Bradley): Averaging 10.0 points and 8.0 rebounds, he is the best bet to punish Coppin's weak defensive rebounding.
- Timoty van der Knaap (Bradley): Bradley's top returner averaged 6.5 points last season but went 0-for-11 in his return from a foot injury at Davidson.
- Ben Thornbrue (Bradley): Posting a 120.4 offensive rating and 10.0 points per game in 21.7 minutes off the bench.
- Brendan Johnson (Coppin State): Coppin's leading scorer at 9.7 points per game, including 17 at Virginia Tech.
- Malik Shackleford (Coppin State): Has made 6 of 10 threes for a 70.6% effective field goal percentage.
- Baasil Saunders (Coppin State): Averaging 1.7 steals and 8.7 points off the bench, up from 3.2 points last season.
Numbers that matter
| Coppin turnover rate | 27.2% | Ranks 359th of 364, and Bradley forces turnovers on 22.2% of possessions. |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley returning minutes | 13.0% | So little of last season's roster is back that last season's ratings say little about this team. |
| Bradley effective FG% | 43.3% | Ranks 338th, the clearest sign of an offense still searching for an identity. |
| Coppin opponent free throw rate | 44.8% | Ranks 300th, a chance for a Bradley team that rarely gets to the line. |
| Current spread | -10.5 | Bradley's number has climbed from -7.75 since our feed first recorded the game. |
Coppin St Eagles vs Bradley Braves: quick answers
Who is favored in Coppin St Eagles vs Bradley Braves?
Bradley is favored by 10.5 points (Bradley -10.5).
What is the over/under for Coppin St Eagles vs Bradley Braves?
The total is 134.5 points.
When is Coppin St Eagles vs Bradley Braves?
Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET.
Where is Coppin St Eagles vs Bradley Braves played?
Physical Education Complex, Baltimore, MD.
Has the line moved for Coppin St Eagles vs Bradley Braves?
Yes: Coppin St Eagles opened +7.5 and is now +9.5, and the total is still 135.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on Coppin St Eagles vs Bradley Braves?
On the Kalshi moneyline: Coppin St Eagles: 55% of bets, 73% of the money; Bradley Braves: 45% of bets, 27% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Bradley Braves -7.5: 100% of bets, 100% of the money; Coppin St Eagles +7.5: 0% of bets, 0% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 135.5: 9% of bets, 15% of the money; Under 135.5: 91% of bets, 85% of the money.
What are proven bettors on in Coppin St Eagles vs Bradley Braves?
Proven Polymarket wallets, graded on 180 days of settled bets: Spread: Bradley Braves (1 wallet, $5). Largest: 0x842c… $5 on Bradley Braves. A sharp side is a question, not a bet; copying proven wallets late lost money in our test.