Albany Great Danes vs Holy Cross Crusaders prediction: Holy Cross finally comes home, and UAlbany's new guards are waiting
After two road routs, Holy Cross opens the Hart Center against a rebuilt UAlbany team led by a pair of high-usage guards who have not yet found their three-point range.
| Spread | UAlbany -3.5 |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 148 |
- UAlbany's guards should control the ball against a Holy Cross defense that has forced almost nothing, but neither team shoots well enough to pull away.
- Ollie Engen and Tyler Jones running UAlbany's offense against a Holy Cross defense ranked 363rd in forced turnover rate.
- No line is posted yet. Holy Cross went over in both games so far, while UAlbany's Manhattan game stayed under 147.5.
Two beatings and a home opener
Holy Cross has spent the first week of the season absorbing punches. It lost 103-59 at Rhode Island and 95-66 at Villanova, and now it finally plays in Worcester. The raw numbers from those two nights are grim. Opponents posted a 61.0% effective field goal percentage, a shooting measure that counts threes as 1.5 makes, which ranks 347th nationally.
Context matters here. Villanova ranked 39th in last season's opponent-adjusted net rating, and those games say more about the gap in talent than about this matchup. UAlbany is a different class of opponent. Both programs finished near the bottom of Division I in last season's adjusted net efficiency (points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponents): UAlbany 317th, Holy Cross 329th. This is a game between two teams trying to find out who they are.
Albany Great Danes vs Holy Cross Crusaders line movement and odds
| Book | Danes ML | Crusaders ML | Danes spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -145 | +120 | -2.5 (-115) | o145.5 (-110) |
| BetRivers | -155 | +120 | -2.5 (-110) | o145.5 (-104) |
| DraftKings | -142 | +120 | -2.5 (-118) | o146.5 (-115) |
| ESPN BET | -140 | +120 | -2.5 (-115) | o145.5 (-105) |
| Fanatics | -150 | +125 | -3 (-105) | o146 (-110) |
| Caesars | — | — | -2.5 (-110) | o145.5 (-110) |
| Polymarket US (fee incl.) | -165 | +116 | -2.5 (-129) | — |
Where the money is on Albany Great Danes vs Holy Cross Crusaders
On the Kalshi moneyline: Albany Great Danes: 43% of bets, 94% of the money; Holy Cross Crusaders: 57% of bets, 6% of the money.
Albany Great Danes vs Holy Cross Crusaders stats (this season)
| Stat | Albany Great Danes | Holy Cross Crusaders |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Adjusted offensive efficiency | 104.2 (256th of 364) | 100.7 (325th of 364) |
| Adjusted defensive efficiency | 112.3 (327th of 364) | 114.5 (346th of 364) |
| Adjusted net efficiency | -8.1 (318th of 364) | -13.8 (357th of 364) |
| Pace | 68.1 (264th of 364) | 72.3 (124th of 364) |
| Effective FG% | 49.0% (263rd of 364) | 43.5% (337th of 364) |
| Opponent effective FG% | 54.1% (301st of 364) | 57.8% (341st of 364) |
| Turnover rate | 19.9% (275th of 364) | 18.4% (215th of 364) |
| Offensive rebound % | 39.0% (69th of 364) | 22.7% (347th of 364) |
| 3-point % | 27.6% (305th of 364) | 33.3% (179th of 364) |
| Free throw rate | 26.9% (301st of 364) | 34.5% (201st of 364) |
Albany Great Danes vs Holy Cross Crusaders: quick answers
Who is favored in Albany Great Danes vs Holy Cross Crusaders?
UAlbany is favored by 3.5 points (UAlbany -3.5).
What is the over/under for Albany Great Danes vs Holy Cross Crusaders?
The total is 148 points.
When is Albany Great Danes vs Holy Cross Crusaders?
Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.
Where is Albany Great Danes vs Holy Cross Crusaders played?
Hart Center, Worcester, MA.
Has the line moved for Albany Great Danes vs Holy Cross Crusaders?
Yes: Albany Great Danes opened -3.5 and is now -2.5, and the total moved from 147.5 to 145.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on Albany Great Danes vs Holy Cross Crusaders?
On the Kalshi moneyline: Albany Great Danes: 43% of bets, 94% of the money; Holy Cross Crusaders: 57% of bets, 6% of the money.