Nashville Predators vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction: Saros and the league's best penalty kill carry Nashville's streak into Vegas
The Predators keep winning while getting outshot, and a Vegas team that controls the puck needs to finally make that cost them.
Nashville Predators covered the closing puck line (Nashville Predators +1.5). The game went under the closing total of 6.5.
| Line | Vegas Golden Knights -160 (puck line -1.5) |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 6 |
- Expect Vegas to own the puck and the shot count while Nashville leans on Juuse Saros and its penalty kill to keep it tight and low-scoring.
- Vegas's 5th-ranked power play against Nashville's 1st-ranked penalty kill is the matchup most likely to tilt a close game.
- Vegas is -180 with a total of 6.0, unchanged since our feed first saw it; Nashville has covered the puck line 14 times in 19 games.
Winning without the puck
Nashville arrives on a six-game winning streak, its longest since March 2024, and almost none of it looks sustainable on the shot chart. The Predators own a 47.2% shot share (their share of all shots in their games), 27th of 32 teams. They allow 29.1 shots per game, 26th in the league.
The goaltending has covered the gap. Nashville's team save percentage sits at 90.9%, 3rd in the NHL, and Juuse Saros, the probable starter, has a .919 save percentage this season. Backup Justus Annunen made 27 saves in Wednesday's win at Anaheim, which could leave Saros fresh if he gets the call here.
Vegas is built the other way. The Golden Knights hold a 52.9% shot share, 7th in the league, and allow just 25.4 shots per game. If Saros is merely average, Vegas's volume should show up on the scoreboard. If he keeps this pace, the Predators can win again while chasing the puck.
An unsettled Vegas crease
Vegas hasn't confirmed its starter. Adin Hill is the probable starter, while Carter Hart is also unconfirmed.
The difference is modest but real. Hill carries a .903 save percentage this season; Hart sits at .896. Either way, Vegas's goaltending has trailed Nashville's this year, which is why the Golden Knights' edge in shots matters so much. Check warmups before you commit.
Special teams strength on strength
The best matchup in this game happens with a man in the box. Vegas's power play (power-play goals per opportunity) converts at 27.9%, 5th in the league. Nashville's penalty kill stops 89.5% of opponent chances, 1st of 32.
The flip side favors Nashville more. The Predators' power play runs at 26.6%, 8th, while Vegas kills just 76.9%, 18th. Vegas limits the damage by staying disciplined: it's shorthanded only 2.6 times per game, 2nd-fewest in the league. If Nashville can draw a few calls, its power play has a clear edge on that kill.
Who's in, who's out
Vegas is without defenseman Noah Hanifin, listed out with an expected return of Nov. 24, so Shea Theodore and Brayden McNabb are set to absorb more minutes. Parker Wotherspoon helps cover the blue line after returning Wednesday from an upper-body injury and logging 15:31 against Utah.
Nashville forward Jonathan Marchessault missed Wednesday's game at Anaheim with a lower-body injury and was listed day-to-day as of Thursday.
The top of each lineup is humming. Jack Eichel leads Vegas with 26 points, and Vegas has won four straight. For Nashville, Steven Stamkos has 11 goals on a 23.4% shooting rate, a finishing clip that rarely holds over a full season.
What the market is saying
Vegas is a -180 moneyline favorite at home, with Nashville at +155 and the total at 6.0. Neither number has moved since our feed first saw the game.
The betting records point in opposite directions. Nashville's games have gone under 11 times in 19, and every one of its last five stayed under. Vegas's games have gone over 12 times in 20. Nashville has also covered the puck line 14 times in 19 games, though Vegas beat the Predators 5-2 in Nashville in October.
- Warmups: Hill or Hart for Vegas, and confirmation of Saros.
- Penalties: Nashville's power play against a middling Vegas kill.
- Marchessault: whether he returns to the Nashville lineup.
Nashville Predators vs Vegas Golden Knights line movement and odds
| Book | Predators ML | Knights ML | Predators spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +140 | -170 | +1.5 (-170) | o6 (-118) |
| DraftKings | +142 | -170 | +1.5 (-180) | o6.5 (+110) |
| ESPN BET | +145 | -170 | +1.5 (-180) | o6.5 (+110) |
| Fanatics | +140 | -170 | +1.5 (-185) | o6.5 (+110) |
| FanDuel | +134 | -162 | +1.5 (-192) | o6.5 (+110) |
| Hard Rock Bet | +130 | -170 | +1.5 (-185) | o5.5 (-130) |
| Caesars | +140 | -170 | +1.5 (-179) | o6 (-115) |
Where the money is on Nashville Predators vs Vegas Golden Knights
On the Kalshi moneyline: Nashville Predators: 33% of bets, 46% of the money; Vegas Golden Knights: 67% of bets, 54% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Vegas Golden Knights -1.5: 61% of bets, 35% of the money; Nashville Predators +1.5: 39% of bets, 65% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 6.5: 26% of bets, 33% of the money; Under 6.5: 74% of bets, 67% of the money.
Key players
- Juuse Saros (Nashville Predators): Saros has a .919 save percentage and 2.42 goals-against average in 13 games this season.
- Steven Stamkos (Nashville Predators): Stamkos leads Nashville with 11 goals this season on 47 shots.
- Roman Josi (Nashville Predators): Josi has 20 assists and 22 points while averaging 25.5 minutes a night this season.
- Filip Forsberg (Nashville Predators): Forsberg has 21 points and a plus-9 rating in 19 games this season.
- Jack Eichel (Vegas Golden Knights): Eichel leads Vegas with 26 points, including 9 goals, this season.
- Mitch Marner (Vegas Golden Knights): Marner has 20 assists in 18 games this season.
- Adin Hill (Vegas Golden Knights): Hill has a .903 save percentage in 9 games this season.
- Carter Hart (Vegas Golden Knights): Hart has a .896 save percentage and 2.53 goals-against average in 11 games this season.
Numbers that matter
| Nashville shot share | 47.2% | 27th of 32, so Nashville's winning streak has been built on goaltending more than puck control. |
|---|---|---|
| Nashville team save % | 90.9% | 3rd in the NHL and the main reason the Predators have won six straight. |
| Nashville penalty kill | 89.5% | 1st in the league, set against Vegas's 5th-ranked power play. |
| Vegas penalty kill | 76.9% | 18th of 32, a soft spot for Nashville's 8th-ranked power play to target. |
| Nashville unders | 8-11 | Nashville's over/under record this season, with its last five games all staying under. |
Nashville Predators vs Vegas Golden Knights: quick answers
What was the final score of Nashville Predators vs Vegas Golden Knights?
Nashville Predators 3, Vegas Golden Knights 2 (final). Nashville Predators covered the closing puck line (Nashville Predators +1.5). The game went under the closing total of 6.5.
What is the over/under for Nashville Predators vs Vegas Golden Knights?
The total is 6 goals.
When is Nashville Predators vs Vegas Golden Knights?
Friday, November 13, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET.
Has the line moved for Nashville Predators vs Vegas Golden Knights?
No: Nashville Predators has stayed at +1.5, and the total is still 6.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on Nashville Predators vs Vegas Golden Knights?
On the Kalshi moneyline: Nashville Predators: 33% of bets, 46% of the money; Vegas Golden Knights: 67% of bets, 54% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Vegas Golden Knights -1.5: 61% of bets, 35% of the money; Nashville Predators +1.5: 39% of bets, 65% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 6.5: 26% of bets, 33% of the money; Under 6.5: 74% of bets, 67% of the money.