Where the money is: Kalshi NFL splits for Sunday, November 8

On Kalshi, the Raiders-49ers total shows the widest gap between share of bets and share of money. These are Kalshi bettors only, not every sportsbook, and this is information, not picks.

Published 2026-11-07

The clearest gap: Raiders-49ers total

The widest split on the board is the total in Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ers. The Over 51.5 took 76% of bets but only 3% of the money. The Under 51.5 took 24% of bets and 97% of the money. That usually means many small orders on the Over and a few large ones on the Under. The Under side holds $110,586 against $3,583 on the Over. Remember what this is: Kalshi bettors only, not every sportsbook. % of bets counts orders that took a price, and % of money counts dollars paid. Big money on one side does not make that side right.

Kalshi: share of bets vs share of money (pregame, 30+ bets)
GameMarketSide% of bets% of moneyMoney
Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta FalconsmoneylineCincinnati Bengals64%85%$268,066
Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta FalconsmoneylineAtlanta Falcons36%15%$46,826
Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta FalconsspreadCincinnati Bengals -3.567%67%$24,455
Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta FalconsspreadAtlanta Falcons +3.533%33%$12,128
Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta FalconstotalOver 52.526%82%$196,600
Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta FalconstotalUnder 52.574%18%$44,404
Denver Broncos @ Carolina PanthersmoneylineDenver Broncos77%42%$146,085
Denver Broncos @ Carolina PanthersmoneylineCarolina Panthers23%58%$202,779
Denver Broncos @ Carolina PanthersspreadDenver Broncos -2.573%85%$45,016
Denver Broncos @ Carolina PanthersspreadCarolina Panthers +2.527%15%$8,168
Denver Broncos @ Carolina PantherstotalOver 44.554%73%$1,714
Denver Broncos @ Carolina PantherstotalUnder 44.546%27%$627
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis ColtsmoneylineDallas Cowboys54%62%$133,632
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis ColtsmoneylineIndianapolis Colts46%38%$80,044
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis ColtsspreadDallas Cowboys -4.585%94%$3,454
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis ColtsspreadIndianapolis Colts +4.515%6%$203
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis ColtstotalOver 51.563%73%$1,846
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis ColtstotalUnder 51.537%27%$675
New York Jets @ Kansas City ChiefsmoneylineNew York Jets28%9%$19,640
New York Jets @ Kansas City ChiefsmoneylineKansas City Chiefs72%91%$198,029
New York Jets @ Kansas City ChiefsspreadKansas City Chiefs -9.548%49%$12,686
New York Jets @ Kansas City ChiefsspreadNew York Jets +9.552%51%$13,394
New York Jets @ Kansas City ChiefstotalOver 47.552%72%$6,239
New York Jets @ Kansas City ChiefstotalUnder 47.548%28%$2,449
Detroit Lions @ Miami DolphinsmoneylineDetroit Lions76%82%$116,148
Detroit Lions @ Miami DolphinsmoneylineMiami Dolphins24%18%$25,520
Detroit Lions @ Miami DolphinsspreadDetroit Lions -6.576%42%$20,927
Detroit Lions @ Miami DolphinsspreadMiami Dolphins +6.524%58%$28,853
Detroit Lions @ Miami DolphinstotalOver 50.569%92%$3,217
Detroit Lions @ Miami DolphinstotalUnder 50.531%8%$294
Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans SaintsmoneylineCleveland Browns75%37%$188,069
Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans SaintsmoneylineNew Orleans Saints25%63%$315,699
Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans SaintsspreadNew Orleans Saints -2.574%38%$30,250
Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans SaintsspreadCleveland Browns +2.526%62%$50,110
Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans SaintstotalOver 42.518%3%$1,932
Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans SaintstotalUnder 42.582%97%$67,088
New York Giants @ Philadelphia EaglesmoneylineNew York Giants62%86%$713,466
New York Giants @ Philadelphia EaglesmoneylinePhiladelphia Eagles38%14%$115,410
New York Giants @ Philadelphia EaglesspreadNew York Giants -3.580%62%$17,999
New York Giants @ Philadelphia EaglesspreadPhiladelphia Eagles +3.520%38%$11,283
New York Giants @ Philadelphia EaglestotalOver 38.554%70%$2,523
New York Giants @ Philadelphia EaglestotalUnder 38.546%30%$1,088
Los Angeles Rams @ Washington CommandersmoneylineLos Angeles Rams60%71%$53,343
Los Angeles Rams @ Washington CommandersmoneylineWashington Commanders40%29%$21,829
Los Angeles Rams @ Washington CommandersspreadLos Angeles Rams -4.564%77%$9,996
Los Angeles Rams @ Washington CommandersspreadWashington Commanders +4.536%23%$3,041
Los Angeles Rams @ Washington CommanderstotalOver 47.571%100%$172,076
Los Angeles Rams @ Washington CommanderstotalUnder 47.529%0%$361
Houston Texans @ Los Angeles ChargersmoneylineHouston Texans45%58%$65,045
Houston Texans @ Los Angeles ChargersmoneylineLos Angeles Chargers55%42%$46,492
Houston Texans @ Los Angeles ChargersspreadHouston Texans -5.554%69%$7,876
Houston Texans @ Los Angeles ChargersspreadLos Angeles Chargers +5.546%31%$3,539
Houston Texans @ Los Angeles ChargerstotalOver 40.537%29%$619
Houston Texans @ Los Angeles ChargerstotalUnder 40.563%71%$1,519
Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ersmoneylineLas Vegas Raiders52%48%$189,064
Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ersmoneylineSan Francisco 49ers48%52%$203,703
Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ersspreadSan Francisco 49ers -9.544%51%$17,076
Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ersspreadLas Vegas Raiders +9.556%49%$16,315
Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49erstotalOver 51.576%3%$3,583
Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49erstotalUnder 51.524%97%$110,586
Green Bay Packers @ New England PatriotsmoneylineGreen Bay Packers75%43%$156,488
Green Bay Packers @ New England PatriotsmoneylineNew England Patriots25%57%$203,933
Green Bay Packers @ New England PatriotsspreadNew England Patriots -3.533%91%$147,328
Green Bay Packers @ New England PatriotsspreadGreen Bay Packers +3.567%9%$13,894
Green Bay Packers @ New England PatriotstotalOver 44.564%61%$1,073
Green Bay Packers @ New England PatriotstotalUnder 44.536%39%$696
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle SeahawksmoneylineArizona Cardinals62%61%$130,652
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle SeahawksmoneylineSeattle Seahawks38%39%$82,248
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle SeahawksspreadSeattle Seahawks -7.564%37%$9,936
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle SeahawksspreadArizona Cardinals +7.536%63%$16,803
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle SeahawkstotalOver 38.548%16%$5,252
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle SeahawkstotalUnder 38.552%84%$28,180
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago BearsmoneylineTampa Bay Buccaneers29%7%$22,812
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago BearsmoneylineChicago Bears71%93%$319,772
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago BearsspreadChicago Bears -6.571%73%$32,558
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago BearsspreadTampa Bay Buccaneers +6.529%27%$12,129
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago BearstotalOver 47.550%48%$1,996
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago BearstotalUnder 47.550%52%$2,137
Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota VikingsmoneylineBuffalo Bills48%57%$97,589
Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota VikingsmoneylineMinnesota Vikings52%43%$73,739
Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota VikingsspreadBuffalo Bills -3.568%19%$12,082
Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota VikingsspreadMinnesota Vikings +3.532%81%$50,542
Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota VikingstotalOver 44.527%60%$1,008
Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota VikingstotalUnder 44.573%40%$662
Washington Commanders @ New York GiantsmoneylineWashington Commanders39%39%$1,751
Washington Commanders @ New York GiantsmoneylineNew York Giants61%61%$2,789
New England Patriots @ Detroit LionsmoneylineNew England Patriots50%33%$1,512
New England Patriots @ Detroit LionsmoneylineDetroit Lions50%67%$3,017

Other big gaps: Packers-Patriots and Bengals-Falcons

In Green Bay Packers @ New England Patriots, the Packers +3.5 drew 67% of bets but 9% of the money. The Patriots -3.5 had 33% of bets and 91% of the money ($147,328). In Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta Falcons, the pattern flips on the total. The Over 52.5 had 26% of bets and 82% of the money, while the Under 52.5 had 74% of bets and 18% of the money. A few other games show the same shape. In Cleveland-New Orleans, the Browns took 75% of moneyline bets but 37% of the money. A split like this shows where the dollars went. It does not show who is likely to win or cover.

Kalshi: share of bets vs share of money (pregame, 30+ bets)
GameMarketSide% of bets% of moneyMoney
Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta FalconsmoneylineCincinnati Bengals64%85%$268,066
Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta FalconsmoneylineAtlanta Falcons36%15%$46,826
Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta FalconsspreadCincinnati Bengals -3.567%67%$24,455
Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta FalconsspreadAtlanta Falcons +3.533%33%$12,128
Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta FalconstotalOver 52.526%82%$196,600
Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta FalconstotalUnder 52.574%18%$44,404
Denver Broncos @ Carolina PanthersmoneylineDenver Broncos77%42%$146,085
Denver Broncos @ Carolina PanthersmoneylineCarolina Panthers23%58%$202,779
Denver Broncos @ Carolina PanthersspreadDenver Broncos -2.573%85%$45,016
Denver Broncos @ Carolina PanthersspreadCarolina Panthers +2.527%15%$8,168
Denver Broncos @ Carolina PantherstotalOver 44.554%73%$1,714
Denver Broncos @ Carolina PantherstotalUnder 44.546%27%$627
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis ColtsmoneylineDallas Cowboys54%62%$133,632
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis ColtsmoneylineIndianapolis Colts46%38%$80,044
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis ColtsspreadDallas Cowboys -4.585%94%$3,454
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis ColtsspreadIndianapolis Colts +4.515%6%$203
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis ColtstotalOver 51.563%73%$1,846
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis ColtstotalUnder 51.537%27%$675
New York Jets @ Kansas City ChiefsmoneylineNew York Jets28%9%$19,640
New York Jets @ Kansas City ChiefsmoneylineKansas City Chiefs72%91%$198,029
New York Jets @ Kansas City ChiefsspreadKansas City Chiefs -9.548%49%$12,686
New York Jets @ Kansas City ChiefsspreadNew York Jets +9.552%51%$13,394
New York Jets @ Kansas City ChiefstotalOver 47.552%72%$6,239
New York Jets @ Kansas City ChiefstotalUnder 47.548%28%$2,449
Detroit Lions @ Miami DolphinsmoneylineDetroit Lions76%82%$116,148
Detroit Lions @ Miami DolphinsmoneylineMiami Dolphins24%18%$25,520
Detroit Lions @ Miami DolphinsspreadDetroit Lions -6.576%42%$20,927
Detroit Lions @ Miami DolphinsspreadMiami Dolphins +6.524%58%$28,853
Detroit Lions @ Miami DolphinstotalOver 50.569%92%$3,217
Detroit Lions @ Miami DolphinstotalUnder 50.531%8%$294
Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans SaintsmoneylineCleveland Browns75%37%$188,069
Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans SaintsmoneylineNew Orleans Saints25%63%$315,699
Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans SaintsspreadNew Orleans Saints -2.574%38%$30,250
Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans SaintsspreadCleveland Browns +2.526%62%$50,110
Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans SaintstotalOver 42.518%3%$1,932
Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans SaintstotalUnder 42.582%97%$67,088
New York Giants @ Philadelphia EaglesmoneylineNew York Giants62%86%$713,466
New York Giants @ Philadelphia EaglesmoneylinePhiladelphia Eagles38%14%$115,410
New York Giants @ Philadelphia EaglesspreadNew York Giants -3.580%62%$17,999
New York Giants @ Philadelphia EaglesspreadPhiladelphia Eagles +3.520%38%$11,283
New York Giants @ Philadelphia EaglestotalOver 38.554%70%$2,523
New York Giants @ Philadelphia EaglestotalUnder 38.546%30%$1,088
Los Angeles Rams @ Washington CommandersmoneylineLos Angeles Rams60%71%$53,343
Los Angeles Rams @ Washington CommandersmoneylineWashington Commanders40%29%$21,829
Los Angeles Rams @ Washington CommandersspreadLos Angeles Rams -4.564%77%$9,996
Los Angeles Rams @ Washington CommandersspreadWashington Commanders +4.536%23%$3,041
Los Angeles Rams @ Washington CommanderstotalOver 47.571%100%$172,076
Los Angeles Rams @ Washington CommanderstotalUnder 47.529%0%$361
Houston Texans @ Los Angeles ChargersmoneylineHouston Texans45%58%$65,045
Houston Texans @ Los Angeles ChargersmoneylineLos Angeles Chargers55%42%$46,492
Houston Texans @ Los Angeles ChargersspreadHouston Texans -5.554%69%$7,876
Houston Texans @ Los Angeles ChargersspreadLos Angeles Chargers +5.546%31%$3,539
Houston Texans @ Los Angeles ChargerstotalOver 40.537%29%$619
Houston Texans @ Los Angeles ChargerstotalUnder 40.563%71%$1,519
Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ersmoneylineLas Vegas Raiders52%48%$189,064
Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ersmoneylineSan Francisco 49ers48%52%$203,703
Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ersspreadSan Francisco 49ers -9.544%51%$17,076
Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ersspreadLas Vegas Raiders +9.556%49%$16,315
Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49erstotalOver 51.576%3%$3,583
Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49erstotalUnder 51.524%97%$110,586
Green Bay Packers @ New England PatriotsmoneylineGreen Bay Packers75%43%$156,488
Green Bay Packers @ New England PatriotsmoneylineNew England Patriots25%57%$203,933
Green Bay Packers @ New England PatriotsspreadNew England Patriots -3.533%91%$147,328
Green Bay Packers @ New England PatriotsspreadGreen Bay Packers +3.567%9%$13,894
Green Bay Packers @ New England PatriotstotalOver 44.564%61%$1,073
Green Bay Packers @ New England PatriotstotalUnder 44.536%39%$696
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle SeahawksmoneylineArizona Cardinals62%61%$130,652
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle SeahawksmoneylineSeattle Seahawks38%39%$82,248
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle SeahawksspreadSeattle Seahawks -7.564%37%$9,936
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle SeahawksspreadArizona Cardinals +7.536%63%$16,803
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle SeahawkstotalOver 38.548%16%$5,252
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle SeahawkstotalUnder 38.552%84%$28,180
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago BearsmoneylineTampa Bay Buccaneers29%7%$22,812
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago BearsmoneylineChicago Bears71%93%$319,772
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago BearsspreadChicago Bears -6.571%73%$32,558
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago BearsspreadTampa Bay Buccaneers +6.529%27%$12,129
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago BearstotalOver 47.550%48%$1,996
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago BearstotalUnder 47.550%52%$2,137
Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota VikingsmoneylineBuffalo Bills48%57%$97,589
Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota VikingsmoneylineMinnesota Vikings52%43%$73,739
Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota VikingsspreadBuffalo Bills -3.568%19%$12,082
Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota VikingsspreadMinnesota Vikings +3.532%81%$50,542
Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota VikingstotalOver 44.527%60%$1,008
Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota VikingstotalUnder 44.573%40%$662
Washington Commanders @ New York GiantsmoneylineWashington Commanders39%39%$1,751
Washington Commanders @ New York GiantsmoneylineNew York Giants61%61%$2,789
New England Patriots @ Detroit LionsmoneylineNew England Patriots50%33%$1,512
New England Patriots @ Detroit LionsmoneylineDetroit Lions50%67%$3,017

The biggest single bets

The largest bet in the packet is $234,433 on the New York Giants to win at Philadelphia, at 63¢. Next is $177,178 on the New Orleans Saints to win at 59¢, and $170,553 on the Carolina Panthers to win at 43¢. Several of the ten biggest bets are totals. The list includes Over 47.5 in Rams-Commanders ($169,523), Under 46.5 in Packers-Patriots ($164,539) and Over 52.5 in Bengals-Falcons ($161,709). The Bengals-Falcons Over lines up with the money split above. A single large order can swing a share of money by a lot, so treat these as individual bets, not a consensus.

Biggest single bets ($10,000+)
GameBetSizePrice
New York Giants @ Philadelphia EaglesNew York Giants to win$234,43363¢
Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans SaintsNew Orleans Saints to win$177,17859¢
Denver Broncos @ Carolina PanthersCarolina Panthers to win$170,55343¢
Los Angeles Rams @ Washington CommandersOver 47.5$169,52351¢
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle SeahawksArizona Cardinals +10.5$165,64054¢
Green Bay Packers @ New England PatriotsUnder 46.5$164,53951¢
Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta FalconsOver 52.5$161,70950¢
Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans SaintsUnder 43.5$154,02951¢
Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota VikingsUnder 45.5$153,00051¢
New York Jets @ Kansas City ChiefsOver 46.5$151,07150¢

Proven Polymarket accounts

This table shows how proven Polymarket accounts split in markets where at least five hold a side. The counts are small, so one account can move a share a lot. In Packers-Patriots, all 8 accounts on the moneyline hold the Patriots (100%). Yet 75% of Kalshi moneyline bets in that game were on the Packers, though the Patriots had 57% of the money. In Cardinals-Seahawks, all 5 accounts on the spread hold the Cardinals. In Cowboys-Colts, 9 accounts (69%) hold the Colts on the spread. Many markets are close to even, such as Browns-Saints and Bills-Vikings moneylines at 50% each. These accounts are information, not a reason to bet.

Proven Polymarket accounts (markets with 5+)
GameMarketSideAccountsShare
Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta FalconsmoneylineCincinnati Bengals571%
Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta FalconsmoneylineAtlanta Falcons229%
Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta Falconstotalover556%
Cincinnati Bengals @ Atlanta Falconstotalunder444%
Denver Broncos @ Carolina PanthersmoneylineDenver Broncos571%
Denver Broncos @ Carolina PanthersmoneylineCarolina Panthers229%
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis ColtsmoneylineDallas Cowboys240%
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis ColtsmoneylineIndianapolis Colts360%
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis ColtsspreadDallas Cowboys431%
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis ColtsspreadIndianapolis Colts969%
New York Jets @ Kansas City ChiefsspreadNew York Jets330%
New York Jets @ Kansas City ChiefsspreadKansas City Chiefs770%
Detroit Lions @ Miami DolphinsmoneylineDetroit Lions467%
Detroit Lions @ Miami DolphinsmoneylineMiami Dolphins233%
Detroit Lions @ Miami DolphinsspreadDetroit Lions444%
Detroit Lions @ Miami DolphinsspreadMiami Dolphins556%
Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans SaintsmoneylineCleveland Browns350%
Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans SaintsmoneylineNew Orleans Saints350%
Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans SaintsspreadCleveland Browns571%
Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans SaintsspreadNew Orleans Saints229%
New York Giants @ Philadelphia EaglesspreadNew York Giants225%
New York Giants @ Philadelphia EaglesspreadPhiladelphia Eagles675%
Los Angeles Rams @ Washington CommandersmoneylineLos Angeles Rams240%
Los Angeles Rams @ Washington CommandersmoneylineWashington Commanders360%
Los Angeles Rams @ Washington CommandersspreadLos Angeles Rams120%
Los Angeles Rams @ Washington CommandersspreadWashington Commanders480%
Houston Texans @ Los Angeles ChargersspreadHouston Texans240%
Houston Texans @ Los Angeles ChargersspreadLos Angeles Chargers360%
Green Bay Packers @ New England PatriotsmoneylineGreen Bay Packers00%
Green Bay Packers @ New England PatriotsmoneylineNew England Patriots8100%
Green Bay Packers @ New England PatriotsspreadGreen Bay Packers562%
Green Bay Packers @ New England PatriotsspreadNew England Patriots338%
Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ersspreadLas Vegas Raiders240%
Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ersspreadSan Francisco 49ers360%
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle SeahawksmoneylineArizona Cardinals350%
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle SeahawksmoneylineSeattle Seahawks350%
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle SeahawksspreadArizona Cardinals5100%
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle SeahawksspreadSeattle Seahawks00%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago BearsspreadTampa Bay Buccaneers444%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago BearsspreadChicago Bears556%
Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota VikingsmoneylineBuffalo Bills350%
Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota VikingsmoneylineMinnesota Vikings350%

Questions

What is the difference between % of bets and % of money on Kalshi?

% of bets counts orders that took a price, while % of money counts the dollars paid. A side can have most of the bets but little of the money, as with the Raiders-49ers Over 51.5 (76% of bets, 3% of money).

Do these splits cover all sportsbooks?

No. They cover Kalshi bettors only, not every sportsbook, so they show one market's activity and not the whole betting public.

Should I bet where the money is?

Not on that basis alone. Splits and large bets show where dollars went, not which side is likely to win or cover.

Information, not betting advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.