Where the money is: Kalshi NFL betting splits for Sunday, November 1

On Kalshi, the Eagles-Commanders total shows the widest gap between share of bets and share of money. These are Kalshi bettors only, and the numbers are information, not picks.

Published 2026-10-31 · updated 2026-11-01

The clearest gap: Eagles-Commanders total

These numbers cover Kalshi bettors only, not every sportsbook. "% of bets" counts orders that took a price. "% of money" counts dollars paid. The widest gap is the Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders total at 40.5. The Over drew 68.7% of bets but only 1.6% of the money. The Under took 31.3% of bets and 98.4% of the money. That means many small Over bets and a much smaller number of large Under bets. The Under side holds $166,733 against $2,658 on the Over. The split shows where Kalshi dollars went. It doesn't show who is right, and a few large orders can swing a percentage this much. Two other totals show the same pattern. Chiefs @ Broncos Over 40.5 had 45.3% of bets (pct from the gaps list) but 97.8% of the money. Patriots @ Dolphins Under 42.5 had 48% of bets and 99% of the money.

Spreads where bets and money disagree

The Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys spread has a similar split. Dallas -7.5 had 31.9% of bets but 89.6% of the money. Arizona +7.5 had 68.1% of bets and 10.4% of the money. The Colts @ Jaguars spread went the other way in a different sense. Jacksonville -9.5 had 75% of bets and 98% of the money, so both measures agree there. When bets and money point opposite ways, it usually means a few big orders are on one side while most small tickets are on the other. That is worth knowing, but it isn't a reason to follow either group.

The biggest single bets

The largest bet in the packet is $583,243 on Over 40.5 in Chiefs @ Broncos at 52¢. That fits the 98% money share on that total. Next is $525,943 on the New York Jets to win against the Raiders at 53¢. The Patriots-Dolphins game has three of the ten biggest bets: $409,143 on Under 42.5, $381,822 on Patriots -6.5 and $336,997 on the Patriots to win at 76¢. A price in cents is the market's implied chance, so 52¢ implies about 52%. A big bet shows that someone was willing to put up that money. It doesn't show they had an edge.

Proven Polymarket accounts

This table shows proven Polymarket accounts, but only in markets where at least five of them hold a side. Counts are small, so treat shares loosely. On the Ravens @ Bills total, all 5 accounts hold the Over. That is the only unanimous side, and it is based on 5 accounts. On the Eagles @ Commanders spread, 7 accounts (88%) hold Philadelphia. In Chargers @ Rams, 7 accounts (88%) hold the Chargers' spread. These accounts don't always agree with Kalshi money. In Cardinals @ Cowboys, 7 accounts (64%) hold Dallas on the spread, which lines up with the Kalshi money. In Raiders @ Jets, 8 accounts (53%) hold the Raiders' spread, nearly even. This is information about what a small group holds, not a pick.

Questions

What is the difference between share of bets and share of money on Kalshi?

Share of bets counts orders that took a price, while share of money counts the dollars paid. A side can have most of the bets but little of the money if the bets are small, as with the Eagles-Commanders Over at 68.7% of bets and 1.6% of money.

Do these splits cover every sportsbook?

No. They cover Kalshi bettors only, not every sportsbook, so they show where money went on one market and not the whole betting public.

Should I bet the side with the most money?

Not on that alone. The money share shows where Kalshi dollars went, and a few large bets can drive it, so treat it as information and not a pick.

Information, not betting advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.